What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Rank 5 to 6

chance of YES13% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

5–33%

24h volume

1.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.