What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 119 Open interest 106.5K Event Blue tsunami in 2026?

38%

implied YES probability

Last 91 days · High 54% · Low 36% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -2.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.