What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

TheMongolz

Settles Oct 24, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: TheMongolz vs. PARIVISION

chance of YES100%

Price range (1h)

63–82%

24h volume

128.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

81.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$23K

93% on YES

hourly, 1h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 1:38 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,211	$1K
Oct 22, 1:31 PM ET	YES	96¢	4,906	$5K
Oct 22, 1:22 PM ET	YES	93¢	3,768	$4K
Oct 22, 1:21 PM ET	YES	88¢	1,302	$1K
Oct 22, 12:54 PM ET	YES	84¢	1,343	$1K
Oct 22, 12:53 PM ET	YES	87¢	2,492	$2K
Oct 22, 12:50 PM ET	NO	52¢	3,185	$2K
Oct 22, 12:36 PM ET	YES	87¢	1,258	$1K
Oct 22, 12:28 PM ET	YES	81¢	3,185	$3K
Oct 22, 12:15 PM ET	YES	78¢	1,894	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.