What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 99%, implying a 99% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

TheMongolz

Settles Oct 29, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Legacy vs. TheMongolz

chance of YES99%

Price range (16h)

43–75%

24h volume

128.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

82.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$28K

95% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Legacy1%106.5K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 10:45 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,095	$1K
Oct 27, 10:33 AM ET	YES	82¢	6,440	$5K
Oct 27, 10:22 AM ET	YES	80¢	1,820	$1K
Oct 27, 9:50 AM ET	YES	74¢	4,410	$3K
Oct 27, 9:06 AM ET	YES	52¢	2,764	$1K
Oct 27, 9:05 AM ET	YES	55¢	2,419	$1K
Oct 27, 9:05 AM ET	YES	54¢	2,143	$1K
Oct 27, 9:05 AM ET	YES	55¢	5,293	$3K
Oct 27, 9:04 AM ET	YES	57¢	2,650	$2K
Oct 27, 9:04 AM ET	YES	57¢	4,229	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.