Luminosity wins
chance of YES0%
-22.0pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
1–55%
24h volume
52.6K
Open interest
24.2K
Bid / ask
$8K
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
HOTU100%41.7K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 60¢ | 1,826 | $1K | |
| YES | 50¢ | 2,149 | $1K | |
| NO | 53¢ | 2,003 | $1K | |
| NO | 46¢ | 2,940 | $1K | |
| YES | 61¢ | 1,725 | $1K | |
| YES | 54¢ | 4,485 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.