What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Apple

Settles Mar 31, 2027 (160d) All outcomes: What will Intel say during their next earnings call?

chance of YES8% -15.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

14–31%

24h volume

275

$1 contracts

Open interest

341

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.