What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 10, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Stablecoin

chance of YES94% +7.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

79–90%

24h volume

265

$1 contracts

Open interest

568

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.