What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Manchester United

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Manchester United vs Tottenham

chance of YES4% -54.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

57–58%

· 7d +0 pts

24h volume

2.5M

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.2M

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$743K

60% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Tie95%886.5K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 2:26 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,254	$3K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,065	$2K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	NO	99¢	4,031	$4K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	NO	97¢	4,067	$4K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,145	$2K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	NO	97¢	2,183	$2K
Oct 10, 2:24 PM ET	NO	96¢	22,140	$21K
Oct 10, 2:24 PM ET	NO	94¢	4,715	$4K
Oct 10, 2:24 PM ET	NO	95¢	2,787	$3K
Oct 10, 2:24 PM ET	NO	93¢	4,084	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.