What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 95%, implying a 95% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Tie

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Manchester United vs Tottenham

chance of YES95% +71.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

23–23%

24h volume

886.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

563.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$257K

84% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 2:26 PM ET	YES	99¢	26,044	$26K
Oct 10, 2:26 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,400	$1K
Oct 10, 2:26 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,016	$2K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	YES	98¢	5,954	$6K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,018	$2K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	YES	98¢	5,094	$5K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,043	$1K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	YES	96¢	14,312	$14K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,251	$1K
Oct 10, 2:25 PM ET	YES	98¢	8,847	$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.