What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 100

Settles Nov 07, 2026 (21d) All outcomes: ExxonMobil Credit Card Spend in October

chance of YES78%

Price range (120d)

70–70%

24h volume

352

$1 contracts

Open interest

352

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.