What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 106

Settles Nov 07, 2026 (21d) All outcomes: ExxonMobil Credit Card Spend in October

chance of YES34%

Price range (11h)

22–39%

24h volume

433

$1 contracts

Open interest

421

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 11h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.