What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 30

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Fitness Centers Ad Spend in October

chance of YES98%

Price range (120d)

96–99%

24h volume

3.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

8.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$18K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 5:18 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,000	$3K
Oct 22, 12:22 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,700	$2K
Oct 19, 2:53 PM ET	YES	98¢	8,380	$8K
Oct 19, 1:31 AM ET	YES	98¢	2,100	$2K
Oct 19, 12:16 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 19, 12:16 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,500	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.