Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?
chance of YES12%
+2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–71%
24h volume
1.3K
Open interest
11.0K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Before Nov 13, 202615%517
Before Oct 30, 202611%2.6K
Before Oct 23, 20266%124
Before Oct 16, 20264%1.5K
Before Oct 9, 20260%187
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 66¢ | 1,586 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.