Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?
chance of YES6%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
6–61%
24h volume
124
Open interest
9.0K
Large orders (14d)
$3K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Before Nov 13, 202615%517
Before Nov 6, 202612%1.3K
Before Oct 30, 202611%2.6K
Before Oct 16, 20264%1.5K
Before Oct 9, 20260%187
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 90¢ | 1,377 | $1K | |
| NO | 76¢ | 2,206 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.