Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?
chance of YES4%
-1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
5–16%
24h volume
1.5K
Open interest
8.9K
Large orders (14d)
$6K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Before Nov 13, 202615%517
Before Nov 6, 202612%1.3K
Before Oct 30, 202611%2.6K
Before Oct 23, 20266%124
Before Oct 9, 20260%187
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 95¢ | 1,135 | $1K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 2,366 | $2K | |
| NO | 83¢ | 2,860 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.