Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?
chance of YES14%
+3.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
13–84%
24h volume
807
Open interest
21.3K
Bid / ask
11¢ / 14¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0¢ | 85 | 14.0¢ | 20 |
| 10.0¢ | 911 | 15.0¢ | 283 |
| 9.0¢ | 200 | 16.0¢ | 1,000 |
| 8.0¢ | 753 | 18.0¢ | 250 |
| 6.0¢ | 551 | 23.0¢ | 678 |
Mid 12.5¢ · spread 3.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Before Nov 6, 202612%1.7K
Before Oct 30, 202610%2.6K
Before Oct 23, 20268%217
Before Oct 16, 20264%1.2K
Before Oct 9, 20261%187
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 77¢ | 5,075 | $4K | |
| NO | 77¢ | 4,920 | $4K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.