What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 27%, implying a 27% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 28.7 million

Settles Mar 04, 2027 (132d) All outcomes: Robinhood funded customers in Q3

chance of YES27% -2.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

10–57%

· 7d +47 pts

24h volume

238

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.