What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 41%, implying a 41% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Aguiard / Arcon

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Aguiard / Arcon vs Bruce-Smith / Storch

chance of YES41%

Price range (8h)

13–56%

24h volume

1.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 8h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.