What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Amr Elsayed

Settles Oct 31, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Paldanius vs Elsayed

chance of YES0%

Price range (4h)

8–90%

24h volume

174.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

120.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$31K

52% on YES

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 17, 5:09 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,105	$1K
Oct 17, 5:09 AM ET	NO	99¢	2,262	$2K
Oct 17, 4:58 AM ET	NO	95¢	1,068	$1K
Oct 17, 4:57 AM ET	NO	94¢	3,885	$4K
Oct 17, 4:49 AM ET	NO	91¢	5,438	$5K
Oct 17, 4:42 AM ET	NO	75¢	2,656	$2K
Oct 17, 3:57 AM ET	YES	89¢	3,997	$4K
Oct 17, 3:56 AM ET	YES	89¢	7,780	$7K
Oct 17, 3:54 AM ET	YES	88¢	5,438	$5K
Oct 17, 3:32 AM ET	YES	56¢	2,186	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.