What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Oskari Paldanius

Settles Oct 31, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Paldanius vs Elsayed

chance of YES100%

Price range (3h)

11–91%

24h volume

117.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

67.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$36K

97% on YES

hourly, 3h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 17, 5:10 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,880	$3K
Oct 17, 5:07 AM ET	YES	98¢	2,039	$2K
Oct 17, 5:06 AM ET	YES	96¢	9,956	$10K
Oct 17, 4:59 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,559	$1K
Oct 17, 4:56 AM ET	YES	93¢	1,807	$2K
Oct 17, 4:54 AM ET	YES	91¢	1,532	$1K
Oct 17, 4:49 AM ET	YES	93¢	2,839	$3K
Oct 17, 4:46 AM ET	YES	86¢	5,760	$5K
Oct 17, 4:45 AM ET	YES	74¢	1,378	$1K
Oct 17, 4:42 AM ET	YES	77¢	1,334	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.