What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Valentin Garay

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Garay vs Santos Gava

chance of YES0%

Price range (6h)

1–38%

24h volume

182.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

116.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$43K

40% on YES

hourly, 6h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 19, 5:24 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,588	$3K
Oct 19, 5:21 PM ET	NO	94¢	2,466	$2K
Oct 19, 5:17 PM ET	NO	77¢	2,297	$2K
Oct 19, 5:12 PM ET	NO	75¢	6,465	$5K
Oct 19, 5:10 PM ET	NO	87¢	2,574	$2K
Oct 19, 4:59 PM ET	YES	22¢	6,465	$1K
Oct 19, 4:59 PM ET	NO	79¢	1,273	$1K
Oct 19, 4:43 PM ET	YES	15¢	12,574	$2K
Oct 19, 4:35 PM ET	NO	83¢	4,730	$4K
Oct 19, 4:33 PM ET	NO	77¢	4,271	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.