Hayden Jones wins
chance of YES2%
-17.0pp in 24h
Price range (41h)
1–60%
24h volume
613.2K
Open interest
210.8K
Bid / ask
$99K
Odds and volume
hourly, 41hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Matthew Dellavedova98%333.8K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 98¢ | 1,293 | $1K | |
| NO | 87¢ | 3,077 | $3K | |
| YES | 32¢ | 3,848 | $1K | |
| NO | 79¢ | 2,577 | $2K | |
| NO | 70¢ | 3,134 | $2K | |
| YES | 31¢ | 4,726 | $1K | |
| YES | 56¢ | 8,663 | $5K | |
| NO | 47¢ | 10,103 | $5K | |
| NO | 45¢ | 4,891 | $2K | |
| NO | 46¢ | 3,139 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.