What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Alexey Aleshchev

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Aleshchev vs Karthik

chance of YES34%

Price range (3h)

38–93%

24h volume

346.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

212.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

8¢ / 59¢

spread 51.0¢

hourly, 3h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 33.5¢ · spread 51.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 2:58 AM ET	NO	71¢	2,971	$2K
Oct 22, 2:51 AM ET	YES	55¢	2,016	$1K
Oct 22, 2:51 AM ET	NO	47¢	4,103	$2K
Oct 22, 2:50 AM ET	YES	55¢	2,971	$2K
Oct 22, 2:49 AM ET	YES	47¢	4,103	$2K
Oct 22, 2:47 AM ET	NO	66¢	1,696	$1K
Oct 22, 2:40 AM ET	NO	42¢	3,042	$1K
Oct 22, 2:37 AM ET	YES	49¢	6,994	$3K
Oct 22, 2:34 AM ET	YES	65¢	3,006	$2K
Oct 22, 2:31 AM ET	YES	55¢	26,574	$15K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.