What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Yu Tanaka

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Kawanishi vs Tanaka

chance of YES0%

Price range (16h)

1–64%

24h volume

816.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

373.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$162K

18% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET	NO	94¢	9,099	$9K
Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET	NO	94¢	3,660	$3K
Oct 21, 11:15 PM ET	NO	85¢	18,503	$16K
Oct 21, 11:15 PM ET	NO	85¢	1,472	$1K
Oct 21, 11:14 PM ET	NO	73¢	2,011	$1K
Oct 21, 11:14 PM ET	NO	65¢	1,832	$1K
Oct 21, 11:14 PM ET	NO	65¢	2,174	$1K
Oct 21, 11:14 PM ET	NO	65¢	2,982	$2K
Oct 21, 11:14 PM ET	YES	36¢	3,685	$1K
Oct 21, 11:13 PM ET	YES	41¢	9,099	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.