What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Enzo Aguiard

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Ryan Ziegann vs Aguiard

chance of YES78% -4.5pp in 24h

Price range (28h)

60–85%

24h volume

86.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

31.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

78¢ / 79¢

spread 1.0¢

hourly, 28h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 78.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 9:51 AM ET	NO	30¢	5,933	$2K
Oct 22, 6:32 AM ET	NO	63¢	8,175	$5K
Oct 22, 6:21 AM ET	YES	94¢	1,643	$2K
Oct 22, 6:20 AM ET	YES	95¢	2,097	$2K
Oct 22, 6:19 AM ET	YES	98¢	3,426	$3K
Oct 22, 6:18 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,264	$1K
Oct 22, 6:18 AM ET	YES	98¢	6,103	$6K
Oct 22, 6:16 AM ET	YES	96¢	2,071	$2K
Oct 22, 6:16 AM ET	YES	95¢	1,302	$1K
Oct 22, 6:15 AM ET	YES	94¢	2,099	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.