Naoki Nakagawa wins
chance of YES30%
Price range (19h)
17–44%
24h volume
147.8K
Open interest
74.9K
Bid / ask
29¢ / 31¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 19hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.0¢ | 33 | 31.0¢ | 31 |
| 28.0¢ | 80 | 32.0¢ | 333 |
| 27.0¢ | 103 | 33.0¢ | 962 |
| 26.0¢ | 105 | 34.0¢ | 394 |
| 25.0¢ | 110 | 35.0¢ | 6 |
Mid 30.0¢ · spread 2.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Matthew Dellavedova70%152.0K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 68¢ | 1,700 | $1K | |
| NO | 78¢ | 2,518 | $2K | |
| NO | 78¢ | 1,581 | $1K | |
| NO | 77¢ | 1,320 | $1K | |
| NO | 73¢ | 1,460 | $1K | |
| YES | 31¢ | 5,866 | $2K | |
| NO | 63¢ | 3,868 | $2K | |
| NO | 53¢ | 2,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 72¢ | 2,017 | $1K | |
| YES | 34¢ | 7,123 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.