What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Hugo Grenier

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Grenier vs Jubb

chance of YES0%

Price range (2h)

1–53%

24h volume

240.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

124.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$86K

69% on YES

hourly, 2h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Paul Jubb100%168.2K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 9:38 AM ET	YES	17¢	8,426	$1K
Oct 22, 9:37 AM ET	NO	83¢	1,441	$1K
Oct 22, 9:31 AM ET	NO	59¢	1,796	$1K
Oct 22, 9:31 AM ET	NO	59¢	3,148	$2K
Oct 22, 9:31 AM ET	NO	51¢	7,236	$4K
Oct 22, 9:30 AM ET	YES	33¢	7,236	$2K
Oct 22, 9:30 AM ET	NO	66¢	4,945	$3K
Oct 22, 9:29 AM ET	YES	41¢	11,848	$5K
Oct 22, 9:29 AM ET	NO	67¢	2,586	$2K
Oct 22, 9:29 AM ET	YES	35¢	5,465	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.