What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Adrian Oetzbach

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Oetzbach vs Chepelev

chance of YES100%

Price range (4h)

13–99%

24h volume

94.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

71.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$28K

94% on YES

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 10:15 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,851	$3K
Oct 22, 10:14 AM ET	YES	96¢	7,271	$7K
Oct 22, 10:14 AM ET	YES	96¢	2,763	$3K
Oct 22, 10:14 AM ET	YES	96¢	3,197	$3K
Oct 22, 10:14 AM ET	YES	88¢	2,413	$2K
Oct 22, 10:12 AM ET	NO	22¢	7,825	$2K
Oct 22, 10:12 AM ET	YES	87¢	2,278	$2K
Oct 22, 10:08 AM ET	YES	49¢	5,563	$3K
Oct 22, 10:04 AM ET	YES	35¢	4,079	$1K
Oct 22, 9:14 AM ET	YES	41¢	5,901	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.