What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Yuto Oki

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Oki vs Kawanishi

chance of YES100%

Price range (1h)

93–99%

24h volume

29.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

64.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$46K

100% on YES

hourly, 1h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 9:40 PM ET	YES	99¢	20,311	$20K
Oct 22, 9:39 PM ET	YES	98¢	8,117	$8K
Oct 22, 9:35 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,701	$2K
Oct 22, 9:35 PM ET	YES	98¢	6,087	$6K
Oct 22, 9:34 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,537	$2K
Oct 22, 9:29 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,037	$2K
Oct 22, 9:29 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,779	$3K
Oct 22, 9:23 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,069	$1K
Oct 22, 9:09 PM ET	YES	90¢	1,185	$1K
Oct 22, 8:58 PM ET	YES	92¢	1,770	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.