Daniil Sarksian wins
chance of YES6%
Price range (12h)
10–25%
24h volume
147.5K
Open interest
113.8K
Bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 12hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0¢ | 745 | 6.0¢ | 102 |
| 4.0¢ | 1 | 7.0¢ | 2,922 |
| 3.0¢ | 88 | 8.0¢ | 528 |
| 2.0¢ | 408 | 9.0¢ | 576 |
| 1.0¢ | 2,475 | 10.0¢ | 86 |
Mid 5.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Luca Staeheli95%83.5K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 93¢ | 1,130 | $1K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 3,248 | $3K | |
| YES | 26¢ | 8,937 | $2K | |
| YES | 15¢ | 16,034 | $2K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 1,401 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.