What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Esquiva Banuls / Torner Sensano

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: Esquiva Banuls / Torner Sensano vs Friis / Gravenor

chance of YES98%

Price range (1h)

97–98%

24h volume

3.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 1h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.