What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Noemi Basiletti

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Friedsam vs Basiletti

chance of YES100%

Price range (16h)

10–69%

24h volume

384.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

278.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$139K

78% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 20, 10:08 AM ET	YES	92¢	2,107	$2K
Oct 20, 10:07 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,998	$2K
Oct 20, 10:07 AM ET	YES	93¢	2,184	$2K
Oct 20, 10:06 AM ET	YES	87¢	45,451	$40K
Oct 20, 10:06 AM ET	YES	87¢	6,327	$6K
Oct 20, 10:06 AM ET	YES	86¢	1,669	$1K
Oct 20, 10:06 AM ET	YES	83¢	8,106	$7K
Oct 20, 10:06 AM ET	NO	32¢	3,724	$1K
Oct 20, 10:05 AM ET	NO	31¢	8,566	$3K
Oct 20, 10:05 AM ET	YES	87¢	1,206	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.