What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Paula Ormaechea

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Lollia vs Ormaechea

chance of YES100%

Price range (4h)

25–99%

24h volume

47.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

26.4K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$16K

100% on YES

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 20, 5:34 AM ET	YES	84¢	1,412	$1K
Oct 20, 5:33 AM ET	YES	93¢	3,284	$3K
Oct 20, 5:30 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,332	$2K
Oct 20, 5:29 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,335	$1K
Oct 20, 5:28 AM ET	YES	93¢	1,198	$1K
Oct 20, 5:02 AM ET	YES	72¢	1,464	$1K
Oct 20, 4:56 AM ET	YES	78¢	2,201	$2K
Oct 20, 4:54 AM ET	YES	76¢	3,791	$3K
Oct 20, 4:51 AM ET	YES	66¢	2,650	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.