What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Katherine Sebov

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Arseneault vs Sebov

chance of YES0%

Price range (9h)

1–59%

24h volume

362.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

197.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$67K

16% on YES

hourly, 9h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 8:12 PM ET	NO	97¢	4,680	$5K
Oct 22, 8:11 PM ET	NO	92¢	1,513	$1K
Oct 22, 8:08 PM ET	NO	95¢	1,154	$1K
Oct 22, 8:07 PM ET	NO	97¢	4,805	$5K
Oct 22, 8:05 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,037	$2K
Oct 22, 8:05 PM ET	NO	97¢	2,079	$2K
Oct 22, 8:04 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,337	$1K
Oct 22, 7:58 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,582	$2K
Oct 22, 7:56 PM ET	NO	94¢	3,813	$4K
Oct 22, 7:54 PM ET	NO	90¢	1,261	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.