What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Hikaru Sato

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Bains vs Sato

chance of YES100%

Price range (5h)

36–99%

24h volume

538.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

231.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$115K

89% on YES

hourly, 5h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 10:11 PM ET	YES	98¢	8,198	$8K
Oct 22, 10:11 PM ET	YES	86¢	1,362	$1K
Oct 22, 10:09 PM ET	YES	86¢	6,389	$5K
Oct 22, 10:08 PM ET	YES	61¢	1,860	$1K
Oct 22, 10:07 PM ET	NO	39¢	5,243	$2K
Oct 22, 10:04 PM ET	YES	86¢	2,222	$2K
Oct 22, 10:04 PM ET	NO	15¢	7,176	$1K
Oct 22, 10:04 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,061	$1K
Oct 22, 10:03 PM ET	YES	93¢	1,622	$2K
Oct 22, 10:03 PM ET	YES	93¢	6,501	$6K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.