What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Thea Frodin

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Frodin vs Brengle

chance of YES4%

Price range (11h)

1–43%

24h volume

873.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

537.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$115K

31% on YES

hourly, 11h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 4:51 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,826	$2K
Oct 22, 4:46 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,341	$1K
Oct 22, 4:45 PM ET	NO	97¢	3,000	$3K
Oct 22, 4:43 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,812	$3K
Oct 22, 4:42 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,268	$2K
Oct 22, 4:41 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,303	$1K
Oct 22, 4:41 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,572	$2K
Oct 22, 4:41 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,221	$1K
Oct 22, 4:40 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,251	$1K
Oct 22, 4:40 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,129	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.