What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Ella McDonald

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: McDonald vs Munk Mortensen

chance of YES100%

Price range (13h)

32–78%

24h volume

1.2M

$1 contracts

Open interest

501.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$423K

78% on YES

hourly, 13h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 2:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	7,065	$7K
Oct 22, 2:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,596	$5K
Oct 22, 2:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,750	$2K
Oct 22, 2:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,037	$4K
Oct 22, 2:51 PM ET	YES	97¢	57,121	$55K
Oct 22, 2:51 PM ET	YES	97¢	14,942	$14K
Oct 22, 2:51 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,540	$1K
Oct 22, 2:50 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,005	$4K
Oct 22, 2:50 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,179	$2K
Oct 22, 2:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,443	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.