What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Clemence Mercier

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Mercier vs Naito

chance of YES0%

Price range (8h)

1–33%

24h volume

257.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

137.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$44K

7% on YES

hourly, 8h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 1:52 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,795	$2K
Oct 22, 1:51 PM ET	NO	98¢	3,121	$3K
Oct 22, 1:43 PM ET	NO	96¢	12,494	$12K
Oct 22, 1:42 PM ET	NO	95¢	6,151	$6K
Oct 22, 1:42 PM ET	NO	93¢	1,262	$1K
Oct 22, 1:42 PM ET	NO	93¢	3,400	$3K
Oct 22, 1:24 PM ET	NO	78¢	4,410	$3K
Oct 22, 1:22 PM ET	NO	77¢	1,413	$1K
Oct 22, 1:16 PM ET	YES	25¢	7,600	$2K
Oct 22, 1:16 PM ET	YES	25¢	4,560	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.