What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Marina Bulbarella

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Medinaceli Lobos vs Bulbarella

chance of YES2%

Price range (1h)

1–67%

24h volume

121.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

78.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$16K

74% on YES

hourly, 1h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 10:51 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,146	$1K
Oct 27, 10:49 AM ET	NO	98¢	1,933	$2K
Oct 27, 10:26 AM ET	NO	95¢	1,169	$1K
Oct 27, 10:00 AM ET	YES	67¢	4,531	$3K
Oct 27, 9:51 AM ET	YES	76¢	3,618	$3K
Oct 27, 9:45 AM ET	YES	88¢	3,463	$3K
Oct 27, 9:30 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,987	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.