What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 43%, implying a 43% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 19, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 55.5 million

Settles Aug 19, 2027 (295d) All outcomes: Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q1 2027

chance of YES43%

Price range (1h)

38–52%

24h volume

300

$1 contracts

Open interest

300

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 1h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.