What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Chase Elliott

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (9d) All outcomes: YellaWood 500 Winner

chance of YES4%

Price range (3d)

5–7%

24h volume

1.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.