What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Oklahoma

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Texas vs Oklahoma

chance of YES84% +58.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

23–79%

· 7d +8 pts

24h volume

11.3M

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.7M

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$2.7M

52% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Texas16%10.7M

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	99¢	9,993	$10K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	99¢	20,000	$20K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	99¢	10,318	$10K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,073	$2K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	99¢	48,017	$48K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	96¢	49,766	$48K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	85¢	2,490	$2K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	85¢	49,766	$42K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	85¢	1,862	$2K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	85¢	44,444	$38K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.