What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Texas

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Texas vs Oklahoma

chance of YES16% -59.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

31–80%

· 7d -4 pts

24h volume

10.7M

$1 contracts

Open interest

7.3M

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$4.8M

75% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	97¢	6,781	$7K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,640	$2K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	95¢	49,765	$47K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	86¢	44,444	$38K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	85¢	1,711	$1K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	YES	16¢	9,776	$2K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	85¢	8,139	$7K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	85¢	1,450	$1K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	85¢	1,588	$1K
Oct 10, 7:31 PM ET	NO	85¢	1,540	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.