Iowa wins by over 6.5 points
chance of YES50%
-2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
51–54%
24h volume
51.2K
Open interest
56.1K
Bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0¢ | 263,278 | 51.0¢ | 2,166 |
| 49.0¢ | 281,991 | 52.0¢ | 6,033 |
| 48.0¢ | 100,641 | 53.0¢ | 63,714 |
| 47.0¢ | 12,458 | 54.0¢ | 81,730 |
| 45.0¢ | 993 | 55.0¢ | 42,373 |
Mid 50.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 51¢ | 40,000 | $20K | |
| NO | 49¢ | 3,595 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.