Texas wins by over 3.5 points
chance of YES48%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
47–48%
24h volume
27.2K
Open interest
58.4K
Bid / ask
47¢ / 48¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0¢ | 88,282 | 48.0¢ | 9,971 |
| 46.0¢ | 135,593 | 49.0¢ | 59,636 |
| 45.0¢ | 116,862 | 50.0¢ | 68,928 |
| 44.0¢ | 21,361 | 51.0¢ | 35,904 |
| 43.0¢ | 9,032 | 52.0¢ | 14,846 |
Mid 47.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 53¢ | 9,090 | $5K | |
| NO | 53¢ | 2,740 | $1K | |
| NO | 53¢ | 4,545 | $2K | |
| YES | 47¢ | 2,885 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.