Chicago wins by over 3.5 points?
chance of YES44%
-2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
39–46%
24h volume
576.8K
Open interest
626.7K
Bid / ask
43¢ / 44¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43.0¢ | 1,712,003 | 44.0¢ | 847,627 |
| 42.0¢ | 976,363 | 45.0¢ | 1,012,467 |
| 41.0¢ | 395,843 | 46.0¢ | 885,520 |
| 40.0¢ | 114,640 | 47.0¢ | 345,402 |
| 39.0¢ | 112 | 48.0¢ | 179,585 |
Mid 43.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points56%95.8K
Chicago wins by over 4.5 points42%177.3K
Chicago wins by over 5.5 points40%30.6K
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points36%43.5K
Chicago wins by over 7.5 points30%11.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 57¢ | 3,269 | $2K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 8,515 | $5K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 2,492 | $1K | |
| YES | 44¢ | 3,260 | $1K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 42,055 | $24K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 4,175 | $2K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 2,542 | $1K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 3,406 | $2K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 3,406 | $2K | |
| YES | 44¢ | 21,441 | $9K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.