San Francisco wins by over 3.5 points?
chance of YES42%
-1.5pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
41–67%
24h volume
5.3K
Open interest
406.3K
Bid / ask
41¢ / 42¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41.0¢ | 16,896 | 42.0¢ | 5,728 |
| 40.0¢ | 343,555 | 43.0¢ | 321,065 |
| 39.0¢ | 31,313 | 44.0¢ | 21,179 |
| 38.0¢ | 49,292 | 45.0¢ | 127,283 |
| 37.0¢ | 11,859 | 46.0¢ | 93,484 |
Mid 41.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Related stocks
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 55¢ | 4,540 | $2K | |
| NO | 55¢ | 5,454 | $3K | |
| NO | 54¢ | 3,358 | $2K | |
| NO | 53¢ | 333,535 | $177K | |
| YES | 48¢ | 4,149 | $2K | |
| NO | 53¢ | 9,133 | $5K | |
| NO | 52¢ | 18,605 | $10K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.