What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 59%, implying a 59% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 1K

Settles Oct 25, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Cookie Happened: First Week Pure Album Sales

chance of YES59%

Price range (6h)

89–97%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 6h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.