What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 300K

chance of YES5% -9.0pp in 24h

Price range (4d)

1–82%

24h volume

639

$1 contracts

Open interest

468

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 4d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.