What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 80

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (27d) All outcomes: How to Rob a Bank · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES16% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (35h)

15–17%

24h volume

960

$1 contracts

Open interest

7.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$6K

0% on YES

hourly, 35h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 17, 1:31 PM ET	NO	83¢	4,455	$4K
Oct 17, 1:26 PM ET	NO	80¢	3,200	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.